He is a New York Times bestselling author, national liberal political leader, civil rights lawyer, and a senior fellow at the Center for American Progress. Mr. Gillum and Ms. Abrams did exactly what Mr. Obama did: They inspired people across the racial spectrum to participate and vote, and they did it by being unapologetically progressive. Clearly success required a different strategy. In all three early states, he received twice as much support from voters under 30 than his closest competitor. Mr. Gillum offered one of the greatest lines in the history of American politics when he offered, about his opponent, Ron DeSantis, during a debate: “I’m not calling Mr. DeSantis a racist. Conventional wisdom dictated that both Mr. Gillum and Ms. Abrams did not give Democrats their best chance; more traditional, moderate white candidates were seen as the most competitive. I’m simply saying the racists believe he’s a racist.”. The share of eligible voters from Generation Z (18-23 year olds) will be more than twice as large in 2020 as it was in 2016 (10 percent versus 4 percent). Dr. Martin Luther King Jr.’s “I Have a Dream” speech — undermines democracy and distances entire groups from being part of the body politic. Here’s the Math. As 2016 proved when Hillary Clinton defeated Mr. Trump in the popular vote by nearly three million votes, however, the Electoral College is what matters most. Almost all of the current polling data shows Mr. Sanders winning the national popular vote. If you want to engage in theoretical thought experiments, a useful exercise would be to ask how many people who voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016 would switch their votes to back Mr. Trump just because Mr. Sanders was the nominee? Invest in the infrastructure and staffing to engage and mobilize voters. Stephen Francis Phillips (born May 18, 1963) is an American baseball analyst and former baseball executive. According to the exit polls, both Ms. Abrams and Mr. Gillum received more support from whites in their states than either Mr. Obama or Mrs. Clinton did. While some small number of down-ballot House races could become more competitive, that risk is offset by the opportunity for Democrats to flip even more seats by mobilizing younger and more diverse voters. Most available evidence points in the direction of a popular vote and Electoral College victory. As for the roughly 78,000 votes in three states that flipped the Electoral College, the particular strengths that Mr. Sanders brings to the contest strongly suggest that he could close that gap and make the leap into the Oval Office. Mr. Gillum took a similar approach and was buoyed by the backing of organizations such as New Florida Majority, which hired community-based canvassers to knock on tens of thousands of their neighbors’ doors to identify and mobilize Gillum supporters long before the rest of the country caught on to his candidacy. Of all the remaining candidates, Mr. Sanders is the most likely to reclaim those Democratic voters who defected to the Green Party in search of a more progressive standard-bearer. Midterm results laid bare the fallacy of that view. The Times is committed to publishing a diversity of letters to the editor. Learning the right lessons from the midterms is key for the party. Stacey Abrams, the Democratic candidate for governor of Georgia, asked her supporters to keep fighting the day after the election. Steve Phillips, the founder of Democracy in Color and a senior fellow at the Center for American Progress, is the author of “Brown Is the New White: How the Demographic Revolution Has Created a New American Majority.”. Andrew Gillum speaking to supporters at a campaign event in Miami. And that is exactly the next electoral challenge. Historic sums of money were raised and spent, and the Democrat, Jon Ossoff, still lost to Karen Handel. We’d like to hear what you think about this or any of our articles. There are several other seats where Democrats could make additional gains with Mr. Sanders atop the ticket. Andrew Gillum and Stacey Abrams, progressive African-American Democratic candidates, may not have won their races for governor in Florida and Georgia (both are still too close to call). Whatever you think about Bernie Sanders as a potential president, it is wrong to dismiss his chances of winning the office. Steve Phillips (@StevePtweets), the host of the podcast Democracy in Color With Steve Phillips and a senior fellow at the Center for American Progress, is the author of “Brown Is the New White: How the Demographic Revolution Has Created a New American Majority.”. And mobilize and call forth a new American majority in a country that gets browner by the hour and will be even more diverse by November 2020. In Nevada, he received about 70 percent of the vote in the most heavily Latino precincts. In addition to the polling data about how voters might act in the future, there is now the much more valuable information of actual voter behavior in the first three nominating contests, in Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada. To fully harness the energy from the demographic revolution, Mr. Sanders will need to strengthen his support among African-American voters who were more resistant to his candidacy when he faced Mrs. Clinton. In 2018, Democrats fell just 1,000 votes short in both the Seventh District of Georgia, for example, where there is a sizable African-American population, and San Antonio’s 23rd District, which is more than half Latino. (Hillary Clinton in 2016 was actually Florida’s highest Democratic vote-getter ever.) Bernie Sanders supporters in Iowa earlier this month. Phillips is the founder of Democracy in Color, a multimedia platform on race and politics, and co-founder of PowerPAC+, a social justice organization dedicated to building a multiracial political coalition. The implications of the Gillum and Abrams races are profound (to be clear, I did fund-raising for the efforts to elect both Ms. Abrams and Mr. Gillum, just as I did for Mr. Obama in 2008), and learning the right lessons from 2018 is key for Democrats as they look ahead to the 2020 elections. Ms. Abrams and Mr. Gillum were also not afraid to tackle the not-so-silent racist “dog whistles” emanating from their opponents and the president. Pew Research projects that this will be the most racially diverse electorate ever, with people of color making up fully one-third of all eligible voters. Ms. Abrams’s campaign defied conventional wisdom by spending early and big on a vast mobilization effort that involved calling, texting and knocking on the doors of nearly 600,000 infrequent Georgia voters a full year before the election. Notably, this approach of tackling racism head-on is also the best way to woo many white voters. Or look at last year’s special election in Georgia’s Sixth District. This year, riding the swell of turnout inspired and organized by Ms. Abrams, the Democrat Lucy McBath flipped that seat. Over the past 20 years, the best-performing Democratic candidates in statewide elections in Florida and Georgia have been Mr. Obama, Mr. Gillum and Ms. Abrams. Here are some tips. This year, Ms. Abrams dramatically increased Democratic turnout, garnering more votes — 1.9 million — than any other Democrat running for any office in the history of Georgia (and that includes Jimmy Carter, Mr. Obama and Mrs. Clinton). Democrats can go the old route that has consistently failed to come close to winning and demoralized supporters down the line, or they can do the math and follow the example of Ms. Abrams and Mr. Gillum and Mr. Obama before them. “She works right in the middle and finds compromise.”. White people — all people — want to believe in something. Steve Phillips, author of the New York Times bestselling book, Brown Is the New White: How the Demographic Revolution Has Created a New American Majority, New York Times contributing op-ed writer, and founder of Democracy in Color, is the host of a new a color-conscious political podcast, “Democracy in Color With Steve Phillips.” New episodes will be released every two weeks on Thursdays. The strategy of wooing supposedly moderate whites was put to the ultimate test when Democrats fielded nominees from two of the most prominent Democratic families in the history of Georgia — the Carters and the Nunns. Senator McCaskill campaigned by highlighting her moderate credentials and ran a radio ad distancing herself from her party: “Claire’s not one of those crazy Democrats,” a narrator said. In Michigan and Wisconsin, which were decided in 2016 by roughly 11,000 and 22,700 votes respectively, close to a million young people have since turned 18. These particular strengths matter because the composition of the electorate in 2020 will be appreciably different than it was in 2016. In the vast majority of congressional districts where Democrats ousted Republican incumbents in 2018, it was enthusiasm and the high turnout of Democratic voters that made the difference, much more than alienated moderate Republicans switching their party allegiance.

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